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| The Animal Spirits Page Providing a nonlinear forecast for the confidence level or "animal spirits" of Americans and the probability of recession, using methods from behavioral finance and economics with a consensus-beating real-time track record. The model was cited in Nature in 2001. Forecast will be updated monthly after release of the unemployment rate. Look for the "'Animal Spirits' Update" in the Blog Archive for the current forecast. http://animalspiritspage.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default Google offers two different ways to keep up-to-date with your favorite sites: | |||||||||||||
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