http://www.google.com/notebook/feeds/09859336497580798442/notebooks/BDR1XIgoQ9aGIg_Yh2008-08-08T04:59:33.843Zfalsifiability » falsificationGlossary of selected Judgement and Decision-making, Belief-related, and other Psychology termsGoogle Notebook1110http://www.google.com/notebook/feeds/09859336497580798442/notebooks/BDR1XIgoQ9aGIg_Yh/NDRPpIgoQhLKJg_Yh2006-12-08T04:46:35.268Z2008-08-08T04:59:33.843ZFalsifiability Claims framed such that tests can be construc...<div> </div> <div> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Arial"> </span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:#00ff80;font-family:Arial">Falsifiability</span></i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Arial"></span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:#60bf00;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQxLIgoQyOvct_Mh"><span style="color:#006600"><font color="#274e13">Claims</font></span></a> <a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDSnhIgoQy93Puekh"><span style="color:#006600"><font color="#274e13">framed</font></span></a> such that <a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQqFIwoQmIfb5vIh"><span style="color:#006600"><font color="#274e13">tests</font></span></a> can be constructed which, if indeed the claims are </span><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/07491261619920101511/BDR09IgoQ5efAyIsi"><span style="color:green"><font color="#274e13">false</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:#60bf00;font-family:Arial">,</span><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:#60bf00;font-family:Arial"> would show the claims to be false.</span></i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Arial"></span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span><span><span><span><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Arial"> </span></span></span></span></span></p></div> <div> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;font-family:Arial"> </span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial">†</span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial">Falsification</span></i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"></span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial">The act or </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQNsIgoQ1NLmyPgh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">process</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> of making attempts to <span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQGpIgoQx8H1-akj"><span style="color:#003300"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">demonstrate</font></span></a></span> that something, for example, a </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQRcIgoQyueSuPwh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">concept</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial">, a claim</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial">, or an </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRZSIgoQ3562ivYh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">hypothesis</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial">, is not </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQtPIgoQ6Lrrzvch"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">true</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> or is </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial">in</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRFIIgoQ-L-_vYQi"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">correct</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> – also, an instance in which such an attempt at <span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRepIgoQqZnB2pQj"><span style="color:#003300"><font color="#274e13">refutation</font></span></a></span> is successful. If evidence </span><i><span style="font-size:7pt;color:#336600;font-family:Tahoma">falsifies</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> an hypothesis, this means the </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQNsIgoQ6szzt_Mh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">evidence</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> shows the hypothesis is </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;font-family:Verdana">not</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> true. Sustaining a charge of <span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQdBIgoQ1pL2pfoi"><span style="color:#003300"><font color="#274e13">logical inconsistency</font></span></a></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> will also </span><i><span style="font-size:7pt;color:#336600;font-family:Tahoma">falsify</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> a concept.</span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"></span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"></span> </p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/07491261619920101511/BDRreIgoQ853VyIsi"><span style="color:#003300"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">Relevant</font></span></a></span></span> <span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDSBGIgoQhKvxj_wh"><span style="color:#003300"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">considerations</font></span></a></span> include:</span> </p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> </span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>1.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">the </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/07491261619920101511/BDQyqIgoQo6umy5Qi"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">observation</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> that in the absence of efforts to moderate or constrict the </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQqFIwoQoLP3vPIh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="Times New Roman"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">tendency</font></font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">, </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRQYIwoQ6eGejf8h"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">actors</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> will ordinarily display a </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDR09IgoQ7arQwoMi"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">bias</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> towards <span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#003300;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQTrIgoQ6vzZl_Qi"><span style="color:#003300"><font color="#274e13">looking for confirmations</font></span></a></span> rather than </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRhPIgoQ_eOymPoh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">disconfirmations</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">;</span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>2.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">confirmations should be treated as having </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">substantive</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> value </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">only if</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> they result from </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">‘</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">risky</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">’</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDSBGIgoQu4iz__Yh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">predictions</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">, for example, a </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQqFIwoQmIfb5vIh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">test</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> which a <em><font face="Verdana">false</font></em> </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">hypothesis will not pass;</span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>3.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">‘</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">good</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">’</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> scientific hypotheses involve prohibitions, that is, they specify that certain things are forbidden from happening, the more that an hypothesis forbids – the clearer will be any indication of </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRreIgoQmZKo4vwh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">validity</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> or </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQ5UIgoQ1tXD_v8h"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">applicability</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">;</span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>4.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">an hypothesis which </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">cannot</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> be refuted by any conceivable </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDSzpIgoQyu-Gyfgh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">event</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> fails to be a </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRreIgoQkcrhz4Ai"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="verdana" color="#274e13">scientific</font></span></a></span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> hypothesis;</span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>5.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">for a test of an hypothesis to be scientific it must involve a </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">genuine</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> attempt (or attempts) to show the hypothesis to be false – the more exposed to refutation our hypothesis is, the better;</span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>6.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">confirming evidence should only </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">legitimately</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> count for an hypothesis if it is the result of such </span><i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">full-blooded</span></i><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">, yet unsuccessful attempts to falsify the hypothesis;</span></p> <p style="margin:0.5pt 0cm 0.5pt 54pt;text-indent:-18pt;line-height:150%"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><span>7.<span>     </span></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">endeavours to </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">‘</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">rescue</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Verdana">’</span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> an hypothesis by introducing <span style="font-size:7.5pt;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDSeIIwoQouG22Pgi"><font face="verdana" color="#006600"><em>ad hoc</em></font></a></span></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRZSIgoQufrL5vIh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13">assumptions</font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial">, or worse still, reinterpreting and recasting the hypothesis in </span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:#336600;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQ02IgoQkKHyo-Qh"><span style="color:#336600"><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#274e13"><em>non-falsifiable</em></font></span></a></span><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;line-height:150%;font-family:Arial"> terms may well save the hypothesis, <span style="font-size:7pt;color:#336600;font-family:Tahoma"><em>but only at the cost of jeopardizing or even destroying its scientific character</em></span>.</span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:7.5pt;color:green;font-family:Arial"> </span></p><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red;font-family:Arial"><a href="http://au.blog.360.yahoo.com/blog-.FMiD883dLQMqPRiPt7374.4qsD7fK8gzLK8vTNolrsY"><font face="Times New Roman"><span style="color:#33ccff"></span></font></a></span></div> <div><span><font color="#60bf00"><em>(see also: </em><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQqFIwoQmIfb5vIh"><font color="#009900">Test</font></a><em>, </em><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRPpIgoQjO7n5vIh"><font color="#009900">Testability</font></a><em>, </em><span><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQ02IgoQkKHyo-Qh"><span><font face="arial,sans-serif" color="#009900">non-falsifiable</font></span></a></span><em>)</em></font></span></div> <div><span><font color="#60bf00"></font></span> </div> <div> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><b><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red"><font color="#38761d">Back to:</font></span></i></b><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red"> </span></i><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQ2OIgoQnpe-uJki"><em><b><span style="font-size:10pt;color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><font color="#b45f06">Glossary A-C</font></span></b></em></a><font color="#b45f06"><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red">, </span></i><span style="font-size:10pt;color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRhPIgoQmZTPsoci"><em><b><span style="color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><font color="#b45f06">Glossary D-H</font></span></b></em></a></span><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red">, </span></i><b><span style="font-size:10pt;color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQtPIgoQyMrOsoci"><em><span style="color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><font color="#b45f06">Glossary I-P</font></span></em></a></span></b><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red">, </span></i><b><span style="font-size:10pt;color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDRy4IgoQzJvOsoci"><em><span style="color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><font color="#b45f06">Glossary Q-S</font></span></em></a></span></b><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red"><font color="#b45f06">,</font> </span></i><b><span style="font-size:10pt;color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><a href="http://www.google.com/notebook/public/09859336497580798442/BDQlbIgoQ0cGdiYci"><em><span style="color:#ff9933;font-family:Tahoma"><font color="#b45f06">Glossary T-Z</font></span></em></a></span></b></font><b><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red"></span></i></b></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:red;font-family:Arial"> </span></p> <p style="margin:0cm 0cm 0pt"><b><i><span style="font-size:10pt;color:#ff6600"><a href="http://blog.360.yahoo.com/blog-uK4ZpvghfrI43fmUf6_mPYV2"><span style="color:#ff6600"><font face="Times New Roman" color="#b45f06">Glossary of selected Judgement &amp; Decision-making, Belief-related, and other Psychology terms A-Z »</font></span></a></span></i></b><b><i><span style="font-size:8.5pt;color:#ff6600;font-family:Arial"></span></i></b></p></div> <div> </div> <div><span><font color="#60bf00"> <div><span><span><font color="#ff4040"><font color="#ff0000"><span><span><span><font color="#ff4040"><font color="#ff0000"><a href="http://au.blog.360.yahoo.com/blog-.FMiD883dLQMqPRiPt7374.4qsD7fK8gzLK8vTNolrsY"><font color="#33ccff">»</font></a><a href="http://au.blog.360.yahoo.com/blog-.FMiD883dLQMqPRiPt7374.4qsD7fK8gzLK8vTNolrsY"><span><font color="#33ccff"> </font></span><span><font color="#33cc00">Return to </font></span><span><font color="#009900">belief, judgement, and clear thinking</font></span><span><font color="#33ccff"> »</font></span></a></font></font></span></span></span></font></font></span></span></div></font></span></div>Glossary of selected Judgement and Decision-making, Belief-related, and other Psychology terms