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Why Do The Super Delegates Matter ?
Crowdsourcing Puts Crucial Superdelegates Under a Microscope
www.wired.com/politics/law/news/2008/02/superdeleg... Crowdsourcing Puts Crucial Superdelegates Under a MicroscopeIn a tight race, the Democratic Party's pick for presidential candidate could be decided by superdelegates -- 795 party insiders who are free to vote for anybody they want at the party's national convention. Candidates lobby for those votes fiercely, in a process that's always unfolded behind the scenes. But now, thanks to the internet and wiki software, voters can see exactly what those superdelegates are up to, and can even try to apply a little pressure of their own. Critics of the superdelegate process, which many think will benefit the party insider, Hillary Clinton, have created several new websites that use collaborative software to focus attention on the superdelegates, in the hope that once under a microscope, they'll resist lures like financial contributions and political quid pro quos offered by the competing campaigns. "There is an unprecedented level of interest in superdelegates, and with this information there's an unprecedented opportunity to pressure those superdelegates however [voters] want to pressure them," says Chris Bowers, co-founder of OpenLeft, and one of the organizers of the Superdelegate Transparency Project. The Transparency Project lets you click on a map to see which superdelegates come from your state, and who they currently support -- Clinton or Obama -- if anyone. Every Democratic member of Congress is a superdelegate automatically, and the site's most enlightening feature lets you compare whom they support with whom their constituents favor. Representative Dennis Cardoza, of California's 18th District, for example, has pledged his vote to Hillary Clinton, while voters in his district favored Barack Obama by 3-2 in the Feb. 5 primary. The site shows scores of similar cases in which a representative's commitment is at odds with the will of his or her constituents; they include superdelegates pledged to both Clinton and Obama. That trend is what worries 36-year-old Rick Klau, who started a similar site called Superdelegates.org, which explains the Byzantine primary voting process, and geographically maps all the superdelegates. "As an Obama supporter, I would find it terribly distressing if he won more states and more votes and had more pledged delegates, and wasn't the party's nominee," says Klau, a manager at Google. The 795 superdelegates make up 20 percent of the more than 3,000 Democratic party delegates: The presidential contenders need 2,025 to win. As of Thursday afternoon, Clinton had 985 pledged delegates as a result of voters' choices in primaries and caucuses, and the endorsements of 259 superdelegates. Obama had 1,116 pledged delegates and 181 superdelegate endorsements, which gives him a slight lead, according to NBC. Not only are superdelegates free to disregard the will of their constituents; if they have them, they're also under no obligation to vote in line with the popular vote for Democratic candidate. And they can change their minds at any time up until the national convention in August. On Thursday, the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics released a report showing that Obama and Clinton have together contributed more than $900,000 to superdelegates' election campaigns in the last three years. The report showed that Obama's political action committee far outstripped Clinton's in donations. His PAC donated almost $700,000, while hers has donated almost $200,000. MoveOn.org and the Obama camp argue that the elected delegates should vote in line with the will of their constituents. Earlier this week, MoveOn sent a note out to its 3.2 million members asking them to sign a petition to that effect. It's the first time the public has lobbied superdelegates to a convention, says Larry Sabato, a political science professor at the University of Virginia. "The public has never had reason to lobby them before." Some congressional representatives are feeling torn between voting their own opinions as professional politicians, and voting as representatives of their districts. On Friday for example, The New York Times disclosed that Clinton endorser and civil rights leader congressman John Lewis of Georgia was reconsidering his support for Clinton because Obama had won Lewis' district. The razor-thin margin between Obama and Clinton in the contest so far has made the superdelegates' influence a matter of intense public interest, but until recently, voters couldn't easily find the relevant information. The blog DemConWatch, short for Democratic Convention Watch, was the first to start digging into the superdelegates. There, anonymous bloggers painstakingly compiled a list of superdelegates from press releases and statements in news articles. Site statistics show that it had 172,000 visits this week. One of the site administrators says that visitors come from the government and news agencies. On Friday, DemConWatch announced that it is teaming up with the Superdelegate Transparency Project, a project of the progressive blogs OpenLeft and The Literary Outpost, and the staff at a Washington, D.C., nonprofit called the Sunlight Foundation. About 50 volunteers are contributing to the wiki, says Avelino Maestas, an editor at the Sunlight Foundation. But William Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a veteran of Democrat Walter Mondale's presidential campaign, thinks much of the alarm over the superdelegates' independence is unjustified. "If one candidate has a clear and significant majority of the elected delegates, the superdelegates will not act to override that majority," he says. "They won't do it because they are political professionals and they know what acrimony and division that would create within the party." BadGalsRadio ~ I-riginal 100%GalBassed RooticalTruth » Blog Archive » WE Are The Superdelegates;
badgals-radio.com/?p=2065 WE Are The Superdelegates; Lets Make a Change
February 19th 2008
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — As Democrats hold contests Tuesday in Wisconsin, Hawaii and Washington state, Hillary Clinton could use a dose of Barack Obama’s favorite thing: hope.
According to a nationwide poll of likely Democratic primary voters, the New York senator is lagging Obama by 4 percentage points. Despite that margin, cited by the Rasmussen Reports poll, Clinton still could pull off an upset in Wisconsin, some political pundits said. See full story.
Meanwhile, Republican frontrunner John McCain may mock Obama’s oft-repeated use of the word “hope” in his campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination, but the Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll suggests McCain will need to draw on his own optimism.
Monday’s daily poll shows Obama leading the Arizona senator 46% to 43% in a hypothetical showdown of the two.
And in a face-off with McCain, Clinton lags by 7 percentage points. Wisconsin is the last primary leading up to the March 4 contests in Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont.
Democrats will hold caucuses in Hawaii on Tuesday, where Obama was raised as a child and is expected to win handily.
Washington also plans to finish off its selection process by holding primaries as a follow-up to the Feb. 9 caucuses.
Obama and Clinton are duking it out a day after Clinton rolled out an economic blueprint that contained ideas including a 90-day moratorium on subprime-mortgage foreclosures, ending tax breaks for companies that ship jobs overseas and providing universal health care. Clinton has talked about many of the proposals in detail since launching her campaign for the nomination. Read Clinton’s plan.
Robert Schroeder is a reporter for MarketWatch in Washington. Family, Friends and Loved Ones Please Don’t Ignore the Super Delegate Issue. Repost to News and Discussion Groups to Enable The Super Delegates are US. Folks in Michigan and Florida. A Luta Continua, it’s time for a Change. ~RE ~RE Ausetkmt 88888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888888 ——– Original Message ——–
Dear Re, Voters in places like Atlanta,1 Brooklyn,2 St. Louis,3 and Inglewood4 have made it clear who their choice is for president: Barack Obama. So why are some members of the Congressional Black Caucus threatening to use their power as “superdelegates” to undermine their vote and nominate Hillary Clinton?5 Voters should decide elections–not politicians. And members of the Congressional Black Caucus should amplify the political voice of their constituents, not silence it. Join us in demanding that the CBC to listen to the voters. Tell them to vote with the people, not against them: http://colorofchange.org/superd/?id=2365-436031 Voters in almost all the districts represented by the CBC have chosen Obama, helping him win more delegates than Clinton. But only some delegates vote based on the results of primaries. A fifth of the delegates that will vote at the convention — and decide the nomination — are “superdelegates” that can technically vote however they like, regardless of what the voters say.6 These superdelegates are members of Congress, senators, governors and Democratic party insiders. In a contest this close, they have the power to overturn the will of voters, and decide the outcome. Representatives Jesse Jackson Jr.,7 John Conyers,8 Eleanor Holmes-Norton,9 and others have called for superdelegates to listen to the voices of those they claim to represent, but we need to convince their colleagues to do the same. At least 11 Black members of Congress might cast their superdelegate vote for Clinton, even though their districts voted for Obama. Many endorsed Clinton, typically before any voting had taken place. But even after their constituents showed an overwhelming preference for Obama, most are refusing to say what they’ll do as superdelegates.10 In 2000 and 2004, CBC members stood up to defend the rights of Black voters that had been disenfranchised. It would be a disgrace for its members to now undermine the votes of the Black people they represent. Rarely have Black voters across the country been so unified behind a particular candidate. If CBC members vote against their constituents, it will diminish the power of Black voters in a historic election that could result in our country’s first Black president.
http://colorofchange.org/superd/?id=2365-436031 Thank You and Peace, – James, Van, Gabriel, Clarissa, Mervyn, Andre, and the rest of the ColorOfChange.org team P.S. Here’s what Eleanor Holmes-Norton (D.C.’s Congressional Delegate) had to say about her role as a superdelegate:
Here’s Donna Brazile (a strategist who ran Al Gore’s campaign and has a position with the DNC):
References: 1. Huckabee, Obama Celebrate Wins In Georgia, WSB-TV, 2-7-2008 2. New York Primary Results, USAToday.com 3. Election Summary Report, City of Saint Louis 4. California Primary Results, USAToday.com 5. Black lawmakers backing Obama press colleagues to heed voters, The Hill, 2-16-08 6. “Superdelegate,” Wikipedia 7. “The delicate superdelegate predicament,” Congressman Jesse Jackson Jr., Op-ed in the New York Times, 2-12-08 8. See reference 5. 9. “Deciding Between Two Good Friends, Norton Chooses Obama,” Hotline On Call, 2-12-08 10. See reference 5. 11. See reference 9. 12. “Democrats dreading a drawn-out, costly battle for nomination,” CNN.com, 2-8-08 Clinton hopes to end Obama surge in Wisconsin02-18-2008, 18h21 MADISON, Wisconsin (AFP)
White House hopeful Hillary Clinton clashed with rival Barack Obama in Wisconsin Monday as she sought to regain momentum in the Democratic nomination race after a string of defeats. On the Republican side, runaway front-runner John McCain won the endorsement of former president George Bush, a new backer who could help the maverick senator woo conservatives suspicious where his loyalties lie. A win in Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary could give Clinton’s faltering campaign a much-needed shot in the arm before a major showdown on March 4 in Ohio and Texas, where a combined 334 delegates are at stake. The Democratic rivals fired off television advertisements and campaigned across the Midwestern state in a tough fight for Wisconsin’s 74 delegates with the latest poll showing Obama with a narrow five-point lead over Clinton. Obama has taken a 1,302 to 1,235 delegate lead over Clinton after winning eight straight primaries and caucuses since February 9, according to independent poll-tracker RealClearPolitics.com. At least 2,025 delegates are needed to win the Democratic nomination. The Illinois senator could make it 10 in a row Tuesday by capturing Wisconsin and the caucuses in Hawaii, the Pacific island state where he was born and which is holding caucuses on the same day. But both camps acknowledged Monday that the Wisconsin primary would be close a race. “We expect tomorrow will be competitive,” Obama campaign manager David Plouffe told reporters. The Clinton campaign was similarly cautious. “Obviously we’re doing the best we can to do the best we can,” her communications director, Howard Wolfson, told reporters. But asked about the importance of Tuesday’s primary, Wolfson said: “I do not subscribe to the momentum theory of American politics. … Voters assess candidates based on who they think will be the best candidate.” With blue-collar workers considered a key voting bloc in Wisconsin, Clinton unveiled a 13-page “economic blueprint” to create new jobs, end the housing crisis and revive the manufacturing sector. “We have a lot of work to do to take back our country because our economy is not working the way it needs to,” Clinton told supporters at a town-hall-type meeting in Du Pere, Wisconsin. “It’s working for some. It’s working for the wealthy and the well connected. It’s worked quite well for them for the last seven years,” she said in St. Norbert College, taking a swipe at President George W. Bush’s policies. While McCain secured the elder Bush’s endorsement, Obama briefly strayed from the campaign trail Sunday to visit former Democratic rival John Edwards, who has yet to endorse anyone, in North Carolina. The Democratic rivals would welcome an endorsement from Edwards, the party’s 2004 vice presidential nominee who ran a populist campaign promising to help the poor and America’s middle class. The rival campaigns also exchanged fire on Monday, accusing each other of borrowing lines from others. The Clinton camp, which has charged that Obama’s eloquent speeches mask a lack of substance, accused the Illinois senator of lifting words from Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick. “If you’re going to talk about the value of words the words should be your own,” Wolfson said. The Obama campaign hit back by releasing several Clinton phrases that it said he had used first. While the Democrats slugged it out, McCain picked up the elder Bush’s endorsement, which could be crucial in his bid to woo conservatives. “I believe now is the right time for me to help John in his effort to start building the broad-based coalition it’ll take for our values to carry the White House this fall,” Bush told a news conference alongside McCain in Texas. The current President Bush has yet to endorse anyone, but has said he would help McCain if he won the nomination. McCain is almost assured to win the Republican nod, but former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee has refused to step aside despite trailing by hundreds of delegates. SuperdelegateFrom Wikipedia, the free encyclopediaJump to: navigation, search
"Superdelegate" is an informal term for some of the delegates to the Democratic National Convention, the quadrennial convention of the United States Democratic Party. Unlike most convention delegates, the superdelegates are not selected based on the party primaries and caucuses in each U.S. state. Instead, the superdelegates are seated automatically, based solely on their status as current or former elected officeholders and party officials. They are free to support any candidate for the nomination. The Democratic Party rules do not use the term "superdelegate". The formal designation (in Rule 9.A) is "unpledged party leader and elected official delegates".[1] In addition to these unpledged "PLEO" delegates, the state parties choose other unpledged delegates (Rule 9.B) and pledged PLEO delegates (Rule 9.C).[1] This article discusses only the unpledged PLEO delegates. The Republican Party also seats some party officials as delegates without regard to primary or caucus results, but the term "superdelegate" is most commonly applied only in the Democratic Party. At the 2008 Democratic National Convention the superdelegates will make up approximately one-fifth of the total number of delegates. The unforeseen and unprecedented closeness of the race between the leading contenders Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama following Super Tuesday has focused attention on the potential role of the superdelegates in selecting the Democratic nominee, inasmuch as in the aggregate they could come to be kingmakers to a degree not seen in previous election cycles.[2] Such an outcome would result in the first brokered convention since 1952. The Super Delegate Transparency Project
Portal:Superdelegate Transparency Project - Congresspedia
www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Superdelegate_... Portal:Superdelegate Transparency ProjectFrom SourceWatch(Redirected from Superdelegate Transparency Project)
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About the Superdelegate Transparency ProjectThe Superdelegate Transparency Project (STP) is a project of LiteraryOutpost.com, OpenLeft, DemConWatch and the Congresspedia community on SourceWatch. The Superdelegate Transparency Project is the central gathering place for compiling primary and caucus results--Congressional district by Congressional district--for states that have to date held their races, and going forward until the Democratic nomination is secured. We are compiling the district-by-district results of the popular vote and pledged delegates, and then tracking these results against how superdelegates are currently pledged (or have publicly endorsed a candidate), and how they eventually vote. The aim of this project is to open up the Democratic nomination process, and to gauge what effect the superdelegates have on the nomination. Rather than hypotheticals at the end of this nomination process, we seek to make hard data available to all interested parties, including citizens, activists, journalists, bloggers, campaign staffers and people around the world who are following this U.S. election. This is the only project currently tracking this data at the district level. The reporting arms of the project reside at the blogs at LiteraryOutpost, OpenLeft and DemConWatch. The participatory arm is here on the wiki at Congresspedia, where we're keeping running tallies in each state/district, who the superdelegates are, and whom they are backing. The STP is intended as a collaborative project among all interested parties to bring transparency and accountability to the Democratic National Convention by providing citizens with information on how the superdelegates could impact the outcome of the nomination.MoveOn.org is working on their own project, and they're looking for support from people who think superdelegates should vote based on the will of the people.
STP's (Think: Amish) "Barn-Raising" Thanks to the work of many volunteers, much of the vote total, delegate and superdelegate information has been compiled, but considerable work still needs to be done. That's why this Thursday we're holding what we call a "barn-raising" - a day-long effort in which we're hoping that many hands can help to get the project completely up-to-date. We'd love it if you could stop by the project and help out. To add to the fun, we've set up an online chat room where you can ask questions, share ideas, and meet some of the people involved in organizing the project. CMD staff will be there, along with STP organizers including Mark Myers, Jennifer Nix and Avelino Maestas. If you'd like to join in, visit the chat room and introduce yourself, or stop by the STP project page, where you'll find a list of things to do and other resources to get you started. We'll have people there all Thursday, beginning at 8 a.m. Eastern Standard Time and continuing into the evening. Join us because it will be fun, it's important, and because democracy works abest as a participatory process. About SuperdelegatesBackground on superdelegates and the presidential election: The Super Delegates and the 2008 Elections
2008 Democratic Presidential RaceThe Democratic Party has three types of delegates; two types are elected at the state level. The third is less well publicized or understood: the super-delegate. What Are Political Party Delegates?Delegates are people who attend a political party national convention and who elect the party nominee. Some states select delegates during a Presidential primary and others during caucuses; some states also have a state convention where national convention delegates are selected. Some delegates represent state congressional districts; some are "at large" and represent the entire state. The Democratic party also has a third type: super-delegates. A super-delegate is a leader in the National Democratic Party who has a vote at the national convention; they not selected by state party members.A candidate needs 2,025 delegates for the nomination. Pledged (not super delegate) delegate estimate (10 February):
Who Are Super-Delegates?Super-delegates (approximately 850 in 2008) include the following:
Rationale For Super-DelegatesThe Democratic Party established this system in part in response to the nomination of George McGovern in 1972. McGovern took only one state and had only 37.5 percent of the popular vote. Then in 1976, Jimmy Carter was a dark-horse candidate with little national experience. Super-delegates were implemented in 1984.Super-delegates are designed to act as a check on ideologically extreme or inexperienced candidates. It also gives power to people who have a vested interested in party policies: elected leaders. Because the primary and caucus voters do not have to be active members of the party (in New Hampshire they can sign up and sign out going-and-coming at the polls), the super-delegate system has been called a safety-value. Importance of Super-DelegatesThe Democratic Party allocates delegates based on a state's Presidential vote in the prior three elections and the number of electors. In addition, states that hold their primaries or caucuses later in the cycle receive bonus delegates. It has been 30 years since the Democratic Party had a cliffhanger going into the Convention. If there is no clear winner after state primaries and caucuses, then the super-delegates -- who are bound only by their consciences -- will decide the nominee. Superdelegates in the 2008 presidential primaries - Congresspedia
www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Superdelegates... Superdelegates in the 2008 presidential primariesFrom SourceWatchJump to: navigation, search
"Superdelegate" is an informal term for some of the delegates to the Democratic National Convention, the quadrennial convention of the United States Democratic Party. Unlike most convention delegates, the superdelegates are not selected based on the party primary primaries and caucuses in each U.S. state. Instead, the superdelegates are seated automatically, based solely on their status as current or former elected officeholders and party officials. They are free to support any candidate for the nomination. The Democratic Party rules do not use the term "superdelegate". The formal designation (in Rule 9.A) is "unpledged party leader and elected official delegates".[1] In addition to these unpledged "PLEO" delegates, the state parties choose other unpledged delegates (Rule 9.B) and pledged PLEO delegates (Rule 9.C).[1] This article discusses only the unpledged PLEO delegates. The Republican Party also seats some party officials as delegates without regard to primary or caucus results, but the term "superdelegate" is most commonly applied only in the Democratic Party. At the 2008 Democratic National Convention the superdelegates will make up approximately one-fifth of the total number of delegates. The unforeseen and unprecedented closeness of the race between the leading contenders Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama following Super Tuesday has focused attention on the potential role of the superdelegates in selecting the Democratic nominee, inasmuch as in the aggregate they could come to be kingmakers to a degree not seen in previous election cycles. [2] Such an outcome would result in the first brokered convention since 1952.
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Types of superdelegatesThe Democratic Party rules distinguish between pledged and unpledged delegates, with the selection of the former being based on their announced preferences in the contest for the presidential nomination. In the party primaries and caucuses in each U.S. state, voters express their preference among the contenders for the party’s nomination for President of the United States. Pledged delegates supporting each candidate are chosen in approximate ratio to their candidate’s share of the vote. In some states, the delegates so chosen are legally required to vote for the candidate to whom they are pledged, at least on the first ballot at the convention. By contrast, the superdelegates, selected by virtue of their status as current or former elected officeholders and party officials, without regard to their presidential preferences, are all unpledged delegates. Many of them have chosen to announce endorsements, but they are not bound in any way. They may support any candidate they wish, including one who has dropped out of the presidential race. There are also "unpledged add-on delegates" selected under Rule 9.B and "pledged party leader and elected official delegates" selected under rule 9.C. The process of selecting delegates is described here and here. To sum up, the Democratic Party's delegates fall into seven categories:
Both the Democratic and Republican party have a number of state level unpledged delegates that are chosen by each state's party through convention, caucus, or state party leader vote (depending on how that particular state-party body has decided to choose them)[11]. The state level unpledged delegates tend to vote for the candidate who received the most votes from their state (although they are not required to and some state parties give them more leeway than others). Many state Republican party delegations are made up entirely of unpledged delegates which gives them the distinction "winner take all". Even with these traditions, unpledged delegates are allowed to change their vote at any time before the national convention. This is why both the Republican and Democratic parties have the potential for a brokered convention. This is far less likely for the Republican party where the traditions are more strict and there are far fewer unpledged delegates who are given a free hand. Got Your Superdelegates Added Up? Count Again - WSJ.com
online.wsj.com/article/SB120364277250284713.html?m... Got Your Superdelegates
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| See details on the Democratic superdelegates and how they've lined up behind the two major candidates |
About half these free agents remain determinedly uncommitted -- in hopes the voters will decide the nominee soon. Those few who lately have taken sides are tipping to Sen. Barack Obama.
Contrary to the conspiracy theorists warning of backroom deals against the will of voters, these superdelegates have committed to the Illinois senator because voters in primaries and caucuses have given him 10 straight victories, and a lead in the separate pledged delegates won as a result.
New York's Sen. Clinton still leads in superdelegates, having signed up scores of them last year while Sen. Obama still was introducing himself nationally. However, her recruitments have not only stalled as she has been losing, but a few supporters have jumped ship. That is despite the best efforts of her husband, former President Bill Clinton, who, as with his wife, has long ties to many of the superdelegates.
The controversy could be moot if Sen. Clinton doesn't win the Texas and Ohio contests March 4 -- which she has predicted she will do. Should Sen. Obama in fact win, he could become the presumptive nominee regardless of delegate counts, Democratic strategists agree. Superdelegates might well coalesce -- but for him, not for Sen. Clinton.
Bill Clinton, campaigning in Texas for his wife, was blunt about the stakes to a Beaumont audience Wednesday: "If she wins Texas and Ohio, I think she will be the nominee. If you don't deliver for her, I don't think she can be."
Party rules created superdelegates in 1982 as a potential check against an unelectable nominee from outside the mainstream. These individuals, who can vote as they choose, include all Democratic members of Congress, governors, Democratic National Committee representatives from each state, and a few VIPs, including former Presidents Clinton and Carter. The 795 superdelegates this year constitute a little less than 20% of the 4,048 total delegates who will meet at the August 25-28 convention in Denver.
Republicans don't have superdelegates, but each state's party chairman and two Republican National Committee members are automatic delegates. Separately, many politicians win regular delegate spots.
Superdelegates emerged as potential kingmakers after Super Tuesday on Feb. 5, when neither candidate scored a knockout by sweeping those 22 contests or the earlier ones. Sens. Clinton and Obama have roughly split the pledged delegates to date, thanks to party rules that require states and other jurisdictions to award delegates proportionate to each candidates' vote. Even losers don't go away empty-handed, except in a blow-out.
Clinton advisers openly predicted after Super Tuesday that Sen. Clinton was in for a rough patch through February. They underestimated Sen. Obama's big numbers -- his 57% to 36% win in Louisiana was his smallest margin in the 10-contest streak -- and thus the momentum he consequently picked up. The triumphs have meant not only more pledged delegates, but superdelegates in turn.
When the nominating contests got under way in January, about a quarter of the Democratic superdelegates were believed to be committed; the Clinton campaign claimed about a 120-delegate lead. That margin is shrinking daily: Sen. Clinton counts 258 superdelegates, and the Obama campaign had "179 and climbing" yesterday morning, a spokesman said. By day's end, it had 183, plus four others who don't want to be named.
While tallies of the pledged delegates vary, given states' arcane selection processes, the Obama campaign said its candidate has 1,199 to Sen. Clinton's 1,040, for a 159-vote edge separate from the superdelegates. The Clinton campaign said its count is similar. Both sides also agree that, with the contests remaining up to Puerto Rico's on June 7, neither candidate can reach the 2,025 needed for nomination by pledged delegates alone.
So Sen. Clinton's campaign has been predicting for weeks that she will win given her advantage with superdelegates. Her campaign calls them "automatic delegates," in view of the pejorative meaning that "superdelegates" has acquired. "By the time we get into early June, we...expect her to be able to clinch the nomination," Clinton adviser Harold Ickes told reporters Wednesday.
In contrast, Sen. Obama told reporters late last week that "whoever has the most pledged delegates at the end of this contest should be the nominee and...superdelegates should ratify that decision by the voters."
Yet a superdelegate from someplace Sen. Clinton won may be more interested in ratifying the decision of local voters. In fact, the Obama campaign has made that argument as well, suggesting that super-delegates in states or congressional districts that Sen. Obama won should support him. But some Obama superdelegates are from places that Sen. Clinton carried.
Among the latest Clinton defectors is state Sen. Dana Redd in New Jersey, who this week cited Sen. Obama's winning streak. A few previously uncommitted delegates also have pledged to Sen. Obama in recent days, including DNC members Margaret Xifaras of Massachusetts, a state that Sen. Clinton won on Super Tuesday, and Jason Rae of Wisconsin yesterday, along with Wisconsin's Reps. Steve Kagen and Ron Kind.
The Wisconsin congressmen cited Sen. Obama's big win in their state's Democratic primary Tuesday and Mr. Rae, a college student, noted the senator's overwhelming support among the state's young people. In a statement, he said that Sen. Obama "has inspired a new generation of voters to get active and energized in the political process."
In her statement, Ms. Xifaras said that if Sen. Obama "had just said those words about change, it would not have been enough." But, she added, his campaign has had done well on the issues, fund-raising and "reaching out through community-based organizers rather than just the same old political establishment."
"The 'supers' are breaking quicker than melting snow," said Donna Brazile, campaign manager for Al Gore's 2000 presidential campaign. Ms. Brazile, a DNC member who is an uncommitted superdelegate, has been widely quoted for threatening to quit her party if superdelegates "decide this election." But yesterday she said she remains confident they won't have to.
Tad Devine, a veteran strategist of past campaigns, who is neither a superdelegate nor otherwise committed to a candidate, said, "I've always felt that even though we call them party leaders, super-delegates are in fact followers" -- of the popular votes.
Yet the pro-Obama bloggers' imagery of superdelegates as establishment powerbrokers poised to cut a pro-Clinton deal has taken wider root. That caricature has been stoked by the comments from Sen. Obama and his campaign, even as he was successfully recruiting superdelegates.
South Carolina Democratic Party Chairman Carol Fowler, herself an uncommitted superdelegate, decided to confront the issue. Saturday she began training for Democrats who want to be elected by party members to go to the convention as pledged delegates. When she referred to superdelegates, many of the 50 attendees scowled.
"I want you to think about this," she said she told them: If the state's two Democratic congressmen weren't superdelegates, they'd likely run for -- and win -- the delegate spots. "This whole system allows grassroots people to participate on equal footing with DNC members and members of Congress," she told them.
"Then they started nodding," she said. "That seemed to make sense."
Write to Jackie Calmes at jackie.calmes@wsj.com
Compare and contrast. The CNN moderator asks about Nancy Pelosi's contention that the super-delegates should follow what the pledged delegates decide at the end of the contest.
Hillary ducks it:
Well you know these are the rules that are followed. I think that it’ll sort itself out. I’m not worried about that. We will have a nominee, and we will have a unified Democratic Party, and we will go on to victory in November.
Obama reiterates his position that the super-dels will have to follow the popular vote:
Well I think it is important, given how hard Sen. Clinton and I have been working, that these primaries and caucuses count for something. And so my belief is that the will of the voters, expressed in this long election process, is what ultimately will determine who our next nominee’s gonna be.