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Publication numberUST998008 I4
Publication typeGrant
Application numberUS 05/955,823
Publication dateSep 2, 1980
Filing dateOct 30, 1978
Priority dateOct 30, 1978
Publication number05955823, 955823, US T998008 I4, US T998008I4, US-I4-T998008, UST998008 I4, UST998008I4
InventorsRalph B. DeLano, Jr.
Original AssigneeInternational Business Machines Corporation
Export CitationBiBTeX, EndNote, RefMan
External Links: USPTO, USPTO Assignment, Espacenet
Computer system and method for decision tree analysis
US T998008 I4
Abstract
A tool to aid decision-makers in making non-programmed decisions in an uncertain environment. A small computer having graphic display capabilities is combined with a program which provides the means for operating the computer directly by the decision-maker. Problems are stated in decision-tree format with the decision-maker providing probabilities for chance events, terminal values and points on his preference curve. The computer makes choices at decision nodes on the basis of maximization of expected value or utility and displays both the expectation of the project and the decision path. Automated sensitivity analysis is provided to determine those probabilities lying on the decision path which are most sensitive in changing either that path or the expectation. In addition, the effects of varying the probability of any selected branch may be determined. Instructions appear on the display and the user's response is by selecting a program alternate with the light pen or typing a numeral. All results are given on the display.
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Referenced by
Citing PatentFiling datePublication dateApplicantTitle
US4992939 *Aug 5, 1988Feb 12, 1991Tyler Brian GMethod of producing narrative analytical report
US5262941 *Mar 30, 1990Nov 16, 1993Itt CorporationExpert credit recommendation method and system
US5406477 *Jun 10, 1994Apr 11, 1995Digital Equipment CorporationMultiple reasoning and result reconciliation for enterprise analysis
US5734890 *Aug 22, 1995Mar 31, 1998Gartner GroupSystem and method for analyzing procurement decisions and customer satisfaction
US5953707 *Feb 21, 1997Sep 14, 1999Philips Electronics North America CorporationDecision support system for the management of an agile supply chain
US6012051 *Feb 6, 1997Jan 4, 2000America Online, Inc.Consumer profiling system with analytic decision processor
US6684188Feb 2, 1996Jan 27, 2004Geoffrey C MitchellMethod for production of medical records and other technical documents
US7016887Jun 29, 2001Mar 21, 2006Accelrys Software Inc.Methods and systems of classifying multiple properties simultaneously using a decision tree
US20030182177 *Mar 25, 2003Sep 25, 2003Gallagher March S.Collective hierarchical decision making system
Classifications
U.S. Classification705/7.11
International ClassificationG06Q10/06
Cooperative ClassificationG06Q10/06, G06Q10/063
European ClassificationG06Q10/06, G06Q10/063