WO2000058896A2 - Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding - Google Patents
Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding Download PDFInfo
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- WO2000058896A2 WO2000058896A2 PCT/US2000/008387 US0008387W WO0058896A2 WO 2000058896 A2 WO2000058896 A2 WO 2000058896A2 US 0008387 W US0008387 W US 0008387W WO 0058896 A2 WO0058896 A2 WO 0058896A2
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- present value
- net present
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q30/00—Commerce
- G06Q30/06—Buying, selling or leasing transactions
- G06Q30/08—Auctions
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- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes
- G06Q40/04—Trading; Exchange, e.g. stocks, commodities, derivatives or currency exchange
Definitions
- the disclosed invention relates generally to conducting online electronic auctions, and in particular to business-to-business bidding auctions for industrial purchasers
- the catalog model of online procurement was the first to be developed
- the first electronic catalogs were developed by suppliers to help customers obtain information about products and order supplies electronically
- These first electronic catalogs were single-source, i e they only allowed customers to obtain information and products from that supplier
- Inventory Locator Services has compiled a database that lists all airplane parts suppliers that have a certain item in stock. Buyers dial into the database to get information on the parts they need.
- Inventory Locator Service not a supplier, creating the unbiased electronic market.
- the electronic catalog model of electronic commerce involves one buyer and one supplier at a time. When many buyers compete for the right to buy from one supplier, a buyer-bidding auction model is created.
- a noteworthy example of the buyer-bidding auction model is that operated by PriceLine.com and described in U.S. Pat. No. 5,794,207 issued to Walker et al. In this system, potential buyers compete for airline tickets by submitting a bid for an airline ticket on the PriceLine website, and airlines can choose to accept a bid, thereby committing the buyer to buy the ticket.
- bid prices typically start high and move downward in reverse-auction format as suppliers interact to establish a closing price.
- the auction marketplace is one-sided, i.e. one buyer and many potential suppliers.
- the products being purchased are components or materials.
- “Components” typically mean fabricated tangible pieces or parts that become part of assemblies of durable products.
- Example components include gears, bearings, appliance shelves, or door handles.
- Materials typically mean bulk quantities of raw materials that are further transformed into product Example materials include corn syrup or sheet steel
- Fig 1 illustrates the functional elements and entities in a supplier-bidding auction
- Fig 2 is a process diagram that identifies the tasks performed by each of the involved entities
- the supplier-bidding auction model requires that the bidding product or service be defined by the buyer 10
- An auction coordinator 20 works with buyers 10 to prepare for and conduct an auction and to define the potentially new supply relationships resulting from the auction As shown in Fig 2, in the Initial Contact phase 102 of the auction process, the coordinator 20 contacts the buyer 10, and the buyer 10 provides data to the coordinator 20
- the coordinator 20 prepares a specification 50 for each desired product or part 52 Once the product 52 is defined, potential suppliers 30 for the product are identified
- the coordinator 20 and buyer 10 work together to compile this list of potential suppliers from suppliers already known to the buyer 10 as well as suppliers recommended by the coordinator 20
- the buyer 10 makes a decision regarding which potential suppliers 30 will receive invitations to the upcoming Auction Suppliers 30 that accept Auction invitations are then sent notices regarding the upcoming Auction, as well as client software to install in preparation of participating in the Auction
- the coordinator 20 works with the buyer 10 to prepare a Request for Quotation ("RFQ") 54
- the coordinator 20 collects and maintains the RFQ data provided by buyer 10, and then publishes the RFQ 54, and manages the published RFQ 54
- the RFQ 54 includes specifications 50 for all of the parts 52 covered by the RFQ 54
- buyer 10 aggregates similar part or commodity line items into job lots ' These lots allow suppliers 30 to bid on that portion of the business for which they are best suited
- coordinator 20 coordinates the Auction and administers the Auction setup and preparation
- the coordinator 20 sends a RFQ 54 to each participating supplier 30, and assists participating suppliers 30 with preparation for the Auction
- suppliers 30 submit bids 58 on the lots and monitor the progress of the bidding by the participating suppliers 30
- the coordinator 20 assists, observes, and administers the Auction
- the auction enters the Auction Results Administration phase 1 10
- coordinator 20 analyzes and administers the Auction results, which are viewed by buyer 10
- the buyer 10 begins to conduct final qualification of the low bidding suppl ⁇ er(s)
- the buyer 10 retains the right not to award business to a low bidding supplier 30 based on final qualification results or other business concerns
- the coordinator 20 facilitates settlements 60 awarded by the buyer 10 to suppliers 30 Contracts 52 are then drawn up between buyer 10 and suppliers 30
- the Auction is conducted electronically between potential suppliers 30 at their respective remote sites and the coordinator 20 at its site As shown in Figs 3 and 4, information is conveyed between the coordinator 20 and the suppliers 30 via a communications medium such as a network service provider 40 accessed by the participants through, for example, dial-up telephone connections using modems, or direct network connections
- a computer software application is used to manage the Auction
- the software application has two components a client component 31 and a server component 23
- the client component 31 operates on a computer at the site of each of the potential suppliers 30
- the client component is used by suppliers 30 to make bids during the Auction
- the bids are sent via the network service provider 40 to the site of the coordinator, where it is received by the server component 23 of the software application
- the client component 31 includes software used to make a connection through telephone lines or the Internet to the server component 23 Bids 58 are submitted over this connection and updates are sent to connected suppliers
- Bids 58 can only be submitted using the client component 31 of the application -- this ensures that buyers do not circumvent the bidding process, and that only invited suppliers participate in the bidding Typically, bidders can see their bids and bids placed by other suppliers for each lot on the client component 31 When a bidder submits a bid, that bid is sent to the server component 23 and evaluated to determine whether the bid is from an authorized bidder, and whether the bid has exceeded a predetermined maximum acceptable price Bids placed by a supplier are broadcast to all connected bidders thereby enabling every participating bidder to see quickly the change in market conditions and begin planning their competitive responses
- the present invention fosters competition in a unique way by allowing bidding suppliers to incorporate into the bidding process considerations of the transient nature of their manufacturing/supply capabilities, cash/credit constraints, etc These considerations impact their anticipated performance over multiple years of a supply contract
- the present invention increases the competitive dimensions upon which the auction process is run by incorporating the time value of money into the bidding process.
- the buyer first identifies a lot of products sought to be purchased.
- the lot of products includes individual line items, one or more of which are sought to be purchased over multiple contract years.
- participating suppliers Based upon the lot specification, participating suppliers generate multi-year contract bids. The multi-year contract bids are then converted into a total net present value (NPV) bid. Participating suppliers transmit NPV bid information for the lot of products to the auction server. The bid information for each year is used to determine a total NPV bid. The total NPV bid represents a sum of a series of payments over multiple contract years, which are discounted to a present value using a predefined discount rate or rates. NPV bid information received from all of the participating suppliers is fed back to each of the participating suppliers. The receipt of the NPV bid information enables each of the participating suppliers to view a relative comparison of all multi-year bids generated by all of the participating suppliers.
- a bidder offering steeper discounts in the early years of a multiple year contract will look relatively more attractive than a bidder whose discounts are offered in later years.
- the NPV methodology reduces all of the possible options over multiple years to one number for comparison purposes.
- Fig. 1 illustrates the elements and entities involved in an auction process.
- Fig. 2 illustrates the tasks performed by the entities involved in an auction process.
- Fig. 3 illustrates the communications links between the coordinator and the potential suppliers in an auction.
- Fig. 4 illustrates the client and server components of the computer software application that conducts the auction and the hardware at the sites of the coordinator and the potential suppliers on which the client and server components operate.
- Fig. 5 illustrates an example of a user interface that can be used to define a multi-year bid using annual percentage discounts below the base year bid.
- Fig. 6 illustrates the calculation of a total net present value bid using the base year bid, the quantity, and the annual-percentage discounts.
- Fig. 7 illustrates a net present value bid history graph.
- Fig. 8 illustrates a net present value bid history table.
- the buyer specifies the components or materials that are desired to be purchased. As industrial buyers do not typically purchase one component at a time a number of items are grouped together into a single lot. Although suppliers must submit actual unit prices for ail line items in a lot, the competition between the suppliers is based on the aggregate value bid for lots. The aggregate value bid for a lot depends upon the level and mix of line item bids and the quantity for each line item.
- suppliers submit bids on a lot and monitor the progress of the bidding by the participating suppliers.
- Suppliers participating in the auction can modify their outstanding aggregate value bids or can adjust the unit bid values of one or more of the line items in the lot.
- the supplier must determine the adequacy and appropriateness of selling a particular item (i.e., component or material) in the lot at the adjusted unit bid price.
- a supplier s internal evaluation of the adequacy of its bid is based upon the manufacturing/supply capabilities existing at that point in time Accordingly, each of the suppliers' bids define a static view of a lot of products
- the perception of the lot of products as an unchanging item is similar to other on-line auction systems that entertain bids for collectible items (e g , autographed baseball)
- These collectible items are fixed and can be defined based upon a single bid reflective of the supplier s perception of the item s valuation
- auction items can have valuations that are affected by numerous factors that are entirely unrelated to the intrinsic value/cost of an auction item These factors can be based upon the idiosyncratic qualities of both the buyer and the potential suppliers
- each supplier may have different assessments of the transient nature of their own manufacturing/supply capabilities based upon the relative learning curve, economies of scale, etc Moreover, each of the suppliers may have a different view of the value of relative cash/credit constraints over a period of years
- the present invention further recognizes that there are similar considerations on the buyer's side A buyer s purchasing behavior is heavily dependent upon the anticipated cost of capital The anticipated cost of capital is highly dependent upon the business climate that the buyer projects into the future Accordingly, the buyer- determined time value of money becomes a significant factor in evaluating the propriety of any anticipated financial outlay
- time factors are particularly relevant in defining the relative valuation for a supply contract that spans multiple years If these time factors are not included as part of the valuation process, the single buyer and the multiple suppliers are effectively negotiating solely over the price of the first year of the contract Suppliers are therefore prevented from fully impounding in their bids their own idiosyncratic valuations of their anticipated performance in future years of the contract
- the present invention increases the competitive dimensions upon which the auction process is run
- the auction process of the present invention allows suppliers to exploit their competitiveness over all years of a supply contract through the consideration of the time value of money.
- the auction process of the present invention allows suppliers to compete on arbitrarily defined contract term segments (e.g., quarters, years, etc.) simultaneously
- the present invention allows the suppliers to compete on all years of a supply contract simultaneously This feature is in sharp contrast to individual negotiations over the pricing of each of the individual years of the contract
- suppliers submit single parameter bids (i.e., offered product price) to the auction server
- the single parameter bid reflects a static valuation of a product
- an overall contract valuation is based on multiple parameters reflective of multiple years of a contract
- NPV net present value
- x represents the payments in the / ' " year
- r represents the implied interest rate or discount rate
- the payment information x, is provided by the suppliers, while the discount rate r is typically provided by the buyer Note that r need not be the same for each year, and hence may represent a vector of values r
- each of the multi-parameter bids that are provided by one or more suppliers is converted into a NPV bid
- the calculated NPV bids enable the buyer to compare multi-year bids on an equivalent 'apples-to-apples basis
- the calculated NPV bid information is transmitted to the suppliers so that the suppliers can determine their relative competitiveness with the market
- NPV bidding enables the creation of flexible auctions in which suppliers can submit bids involving different cash flows over time For example, consider the following possible scenarios
- Suppliers may wish to submit price quotes for a multi-year contract with a different pattern of discounts offered in subsequent years
- Supplier 1 may offer a $100,000 price quote in year 1 , with a 10% reduction in year 2 and a further 10% reduction in year 3
- Supplier 2 may offer a $95,000 price quote in year 1 , with a 3% reduction in year 2 and a
- Suppliers may wish to submit price quotes for contracts of different lengths
- Supplier 1 may offer a quote of $95,000 fixed for two years
- Supplier 2 may offer a quote of $100,000 in year 1 and $50,000 in years 2 and 3
- Suppliers may wish to submit investment proposals comparing options with different payment timing or comparing make or buy options
- Supplier 1 submits a proposal to sell a fixed asset for $100,000 in year 1 , with annual maintenance payments of $5,000 in years 2 through 10 (assume a 10 year asset life)
- Supplier 2 submits a proposal to lease the same asset for an annual payment of $25,000 years 1 through 10
- each proposal can be reduced to a pattern of cash payments over time The attractiveness of each proposal will then depend on the buyer s evaluation of the time value of money
- the auction system of the present invention supports real-time NPV bidding Competition on the NPV level is provided through the initial specification and subsequent modification of multi-year bidding parameters
- a user interface that accommodates multi-year NPV bidding is illustrated schematically in Fig 5
- the user interface of Fig 5 includes the elements that define a bid for a particular lot of products
- bidding typically occurs on the lot level, with the suppliers specifying the pricing of individual line items individual line items are defined by columns 510, 520, 530, and 540, which specify the line item number, the part number, the quantity of the item per year, and the bid price per unit, respectively
- each of these parameters is typically defined by the buyer as part of the original RFQ
- each of the line items in the lot of products is specified in column 550 as having a term length of 4 years It should be noted that variable length terms for the individual line items could also be defined Generally, the term lengths for the individual line items can be defined by either the buyer or the supplier in combination with the quantity and price variables for the individual line items
- Column 560 defines the relevant reduction rates for each of the years in the terms of the individual line items The reduction rates for each of the individual years are listed in sub-columns 561-563 where appropriate
- Line item number 1 defines a four-year term for the supply of 50,000 units per year at a price of $10/un ⁇ t
- the cost of the first year of the supply contract is therefore $500,000
- Sub-columns 561 , 562, and 563 specify the supplier-defined reduction rates for the second and third years of the supply contract, respectively
- the reduction rates of 5%, 4%, and 3% are used to calculate the cost of the second, third, and fourth years of the contract relative to the previous year of the contract
- the 5% discount for the second year of the contract yields a cost of $475,000
- the further 4% discount for the third year of the contract yields a cost of $456,000
- the further 3% discount for the fourth year of the contract yields a cost of $442,320.
- the example user interface of Fig. 5 can be used by a supplier to interactively define a pattern of cash payments over time.
- the supplier can modify one or more of his outstanding bids (or create new bids), by modifying the values of one or more of the input fields in columns 540, 550, and 560. More specifically, the supplier can choose to modify the bid per unit value, the number of years in the supply contract, or the reduction rates for subsequent years of the contract.
- the user interface of Fig. 5 represents only one method of defining a pattern of cash payments over time.
- Other input mechanisms can be used. For example, instead of supporting the input of reduction rates for subsequent years of the contract, the user interface can be designed to accept actual cash price quotations for each year in the specified contract term. This mechanism would be particularly useful where the contract contemplated a highly variable or disparate sequence of cash payments (e.g., large up front cost with smaller maintenance payments in subsequent years).
- the input fields illustrated in the user interface of Fig. 5 represent one example of multi-year bidding parameters.
- the multi-year bidding parameters represent any collection of values that can be used to define a pattern of cash payments over time.
- the time interval of the contract term segments need not represent one-year increments. Quotes could be evaluated and discounts offered for fiscal quarters, for example. This might be a reasonable requirement for seasonal items.
- the present invention is described using one-year contract term segments.
- Supplier-specific multi-year cash flow patterns cannot be readily compared with each other Relative valuations between the supplier-defined multi-year cash flow patterns are enabled through a buyer s relative valuation of the time value of money As noted, this valuation can be based upon the buyer s projected cost of capital
- the supplier-defined multi-year cash flow pattern is translated to a net present value based upon a buyer-defined discount rate This buyer- defined discount rate is typically provided to the auction server for use during the auction process
- the multi-year cash flow pattern data is generated using the basic bid information and the relevant supplier-defined reduction rates of column 560 of the user interface of Fig 5
- the first year of the contract for the particular line item is calculated simply by multiplying the quantity per year value of column 630 with the bid price per unit value of column 640
- the quantity of product required by the buyer need not be the same for all years
- the present invention should be interpreted to include the general case where columns 530/630 represent a vector of quantities, one corresponding to each time period under consideration
- the payments for any subsequent years of the contract are determined by reducing the payment of the previous year by the reduction rate
- the multi-year cash flow pattern data is generated in columns 651 -654, it is converted into a NPV bid.
- This conversion requires a discount rate to be defined.
- the discount rate is defined by the buyer.
- the discount rate is defined by the auction server.
- an 8% discount rate is assumed.
- the discount rate can be set separately for each year.
- the discount rate can also be set separately for each lot.
- the NPV calculation is performed for all line items. Thus, in the example of Figs.
- the NPV calculations illustrated in the table of Fig. 6 are performed by software running on both the client component and the auction server component. For example, the computations on the client component of the supplier's computer can be used by the supplier in the iterative determination of a proper bid.
- the client component transmits the multi-year bidding parameters to the auction server component.
- the multi-year bidding parameters represent those pieces of information that can be used to define a pattern of cash payments over time.
- the database structure of the auction server in the present invention supports the storage and manipulation of multi-year bidding parameters.
- the client component could calculate all NPV values and submit to the auction server component only the final calculated NPV bid for comparison at the server.
- the auction server Upon receipt of the multi-year bidding parameters from the supplier, the auction server calculates the total NPV bid using the multi-year bidding parameters and the discount rate. The total NPV bid is used to effect a relevant comparison between the bids of the participating suppliers. The total NPV bid is then fed back to the suppliers so that they can determine their relative position within the auction for that lot of products. Note that it is not important whether bidders are aware of the exact discount rate(s) r used to calculate NPV.
- Figs. 7 and 8 illustrate the use of the total NPV bid information at the supplier computer.
- the NPV bid history graph of Fig. 7 is a graphical illustration of the value and timing of the NPV bids that have been received by the participating suppliers.
- the NPV bid history table of Fig. 8 is a listing of the NPV bids in descending numerical order.
- Each client component on a supplier's computer can generate a NPV bid history graph and a NPV bid history table based upon the NPV bid information that is received from the auction server.
- each of the suppliers can modify any of the parameters illustrated in the example user interface of Fig. 5. These changes will lead to a subsequent change to the total NPV bid.
- the new bidding parameters are submitted to the auction server.
- the auction server recalculates the new total NPV bid and feeds that information back to the participating suppliers.
- the auction system of the present invention incorporates the net present value calculations in real-time to permit the buyer and participating suppliers to capitalize on their idiosyncratic valuations of capital, time value of money, manufacturing, or supply over a period of time.
- NPV style bidding For example, a particular supplier can tailor the multi-year bid to maximize their profitability in the early years of the contract, while sacrificing profitability in later years of the contract In this scenario, the supplier would offer a larger first year bid that is severely reduced in subsequent years Many other bidding strategies are possible These strategies focus on multi-year considerations as opposed to a single static view of an item to be supplied Alternatively, a bidder may elect to bid at or below cost in the early years but drop prices more slowly than anticipated cost declines
Abstract
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Priority Applications (4)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
JP2000608318A JP2003530611A (en) | 1999-03-31 | 2000-03-31 | Electronic auction execution method and system with net present value bid price |
CA002369111A CA2369111A1 (en) | 1999-03-31 | 2000-03-31 | Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding |
AU41815/00A AU4181500A (en) | 1999-03-31 | 2000-03-31 | Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding |
EP00921507A EP1230607A2 (en) | 1999-03-31 | 2000-03-31 | Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding |
Applications Claiming Priority (2)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
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US09/282,156 | 1999-03-31 | ||
US09/282,156 US7010511B1 (en) | 1999-03-31 | 1999-03-31 | Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding |
Publications (3)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
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WO2000058896A2 true WO2000058896A2 (en) | 2000-10-05 |
WO2000058896A8 WO2000058896A8 (en) | 2002-06-13 |
WO2000058896A9 WO2000058896A9 (en) | 2002-09-06 |
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Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
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PCT/US2000/008387 WO2000058896A2 (en) | 1999-03-31 | 2000-03-31 | Method and system for conducting electronic auctions with net present value bidding |
Country Status (6)
Country | Link |
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US (1) | US7010511B1 (en) |
EP (1) | EP1230607A2 (en) |
JP (1) | JP2003530611A (en) |
AU (1) | AU4181500A (en) |
CA (1) | CA2369111A1 (en) |
WO (1) | WO2000058896A2 (en) |
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- 2000-03-31 EP EP00921507A patent/EP1230607A2/en not_active Withdrawn
- 2000-03-31 CA CA002369111A patent/CA2369111A1/en not_active Abandoned
- 2000-03-31 WO PCT/US2000/008387 patent/WO2000058896A2/en not_active Application Discontinuation
- 2000-03-31 AU AU41815/00A patent/AU4181500A/en not_active Abandoned
- 2000-03-31 JP JP2000608318A patent/JP2003530611A/en active Pending
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Title |
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No Search * |
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CA2369111A1 (en) | 2000-10-05 |
WO2000058896A8 (en) | 2002-06-13 |
US7010511B1 (en) | 2006-03-07 |
EP1230607A2 (en) | 2002-08-14 |
AU4181500A (en) | 2000-10-16 |
JP2003530611A (en) | 2003-10-14 |
WO2000058896A9 (en) | 2002-09-06 |
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