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Screening answer
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100% likely
Extremely likely
Inferred Gender
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Male
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Inferred Age
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18-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Geography
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Urban Density
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$0-24K
$25-49K
$50-74K
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Single answer

Suppose the presidential election were held today. Who would you be more likely to vote for:

(if unsure, who are you leaning toward?)

Results for respondents with demographics. Weighted by Age, Gender, Region. (1547 responses) 
Winner statistically significant.
Metrics only apply to the topline results for this question. Filters and weighting do not apply.
Impressions
3,257
Responses
2,298
Response Rate
70.6%
Response Times
Median response time is 7.2 seconds
Histogram of response times
Responses by hour of day
Local times of respondents
Histogram of responses by hour of day
Responses by day of week
Local times of respondents
Histogram of responses by day of week
Group Response Non-response CPS Bias
Male 32.1% 20.8% 48.9% -16.8%
Female 67.9% 79.2% 51.1% 16.8%
18-24 8.7% 5.9% 13.2% -4.5%
25-34 19.8% 18.3% 18.7% 1.0%
35-44 15.6% 16.3% 19.1% -3.5%
45-54 20.5% 26.1% 20.5% 0.0%
55-64 22.9% 26.1% 16.0% 6.9%
65+ 12.6% 7.4% 12.5% 0.0%
Midwest 24.8% 26.0% 21.5% 3.4%
Northeast 11.4% 9.4% 19.2% -7.8%
South 31.9% 34.3% 35.1% -3.2%
West 31.9% 30.3% 24.3% 7.6%
RMSE score 3.8%  
All (1547)
Barack Obama/Joe Biden, the Democrats
603 37.7% (+2.7 / -2.6)
Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan, the Republicans
510 34.0% (+2.7 / -2.6)
Leaning toward Obama/Biden
149 9.4% (+1.9 / -1.6)
Third party ticket
149 9.7% (+1.9 / -1.6)
Leaning toward Romney/Ryan
136 9.1% (+1.9 / -1.6)
Methodology: Conducted by Google Consumer Surveys, October 30, 2012 - October 30, 2012 and based on 1547 online responses. Sample: National adult Internet population.
Survey created by:
Google